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» CVE-2021-25319
A Incorrect Default Permissions vulnerability in the packaging of virtualbox of openSUSE Factory allows local attackers in the vboxusers groupu to escalate to root. This issue affects: openSUSE Factory virtualbox version 6.1.20-1.1 and prior versions.
NVD Status: Modified ,CVE State: published
Threat Intelligence & Risk Assessment for CVE-2021-25319
Conclusion & alert: CVE-2021-25319 is rated Low Risk (37.3/100) : CVSS High severity, with low exploitation likelihood (EPSS 0.26%). Mandatory action: Monitor for updates and reassess as exploit intelligence or EPSS changes.
Risk is dynamic; we continuously reassess and refresh what is shown on this page as upstream context changes.
Exploit prediction scoring system (EPSS) score for CVE-2021-25319
EPSS lead: Daily EPSS estimates relative likelihood of exploitation; percentile ranks this CVE among scored vulnerabilities (higher = more severe relative rank).
#
Date
Old EPSS score
New EPSS score
Delta (New - Old)
1
2026-06-15
0.02%
0.26%
+0.23%
2
2026-01-05
0.09%
0.02%
-0.06%
3
2025-11-21
—
0.09%
—
Full EPSS history
(10 records total)
Common vulnerability scoring system (CVSS) metrics for CVE-2021-25319
CVSS metrics for this CVE.
Base score
Version
Severity
Vector
Exploitability
Impact
Score source
7.8
3.1
HIGH
CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
Click to expand
Attack vector (AV:L)
They already need access on the box, or another person has to do something wrong; it’s not a remote drive-by.
Attack complexity (AC:L)
Once they can reach the bug, pulling it off is straightforward—no weird race conditions or rare setup.
Privileges required (PR:L)
A normal user session is enough; they don’t have to be admin.
User interaction (UI:N)
Nobody has to click “OK” or open a trap file; it can work without a victim helping.
Scope (S:U)
Damage stays in the same “trust bubble” as the broken component—no big spill into unrelated systems.
Confidentiality (C:H)
Serious risk that confidential data gets exposed in a big way.
Integrity (I:H)
They could widely tamper with or forge data—trust in the data is badly hurt.
Availability (A:H)
Could take the service down hard or make it unusable for people who depend on it.
1.8
5.9
[email protected]
7.8
3.1
HIGH
CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
Click to expand
Attack vector (AV:L)
They already need access on the box, or another person has to do something wrong; it’s not a remote drive-by.
Attack complexity (AC:L)
Once they can reach the bug, pulling it off is straightforward—no weird race conditions or rare setup.
Privileges required (PR:L)
A normal user session is enough; they don’t have to be admin.
User interaction (UI:N)
Nobody has to click “OK” or open a trap file; it can work without a victim helping.
Scope (S:U)
Damage stays in the same “trust bubble” as the broken component—no big spill into unrelated systems.
Confidentiality (C:H)
Serious risk that confidential data gets exposed in a big way.
Integrity (I:H)
They could widely tamper with or forge data—trust in the data is badly hurt.
Availability (A:H)
Could take the service down hard or make it unusable for people who depend on it.
1.8
5.9
[email protected]
7.2
2.0
HIGH
AV:L/AC:L/Au:N/C:C/I:C/A:C
Click to expand
Access vector (AV:L)
Requires local access to the target system.
Access complexity (AC:L)
Exploitation conditions are straightforward and predictable.
Authentication (AU:N)
No authentication is required.
Confidentiality impact (C:C)
Complete confidentiality impact.
Integrity impact (I:C)
Complete integrity impact.
Availability impact (A:C)
Complete availability impact.
3.9
10.0
[email protected]
Weakness enumeration for CVE-2021-25319
OS Trackers for CVE-2021-25319
vendor
priority
summary
link
debian
unimportant
CVE-2021-25319 unimportant priority: Debian including 1 source packages (virtualbox), 1 status rows across 1 suites (sid): resolved 1.
https://security-tracker.debian.org/tracker/CVE-2021-25319
ubuntu
medium
CVE-2021-25319 medium priority: Ubuntu including 1 source packages (virtualbox), 16 status rows across 16 suites (bionic, focal, groovy, hirsute, impish, jammy, kinetic, lunar, mantic, noble, oracular, plucky, questing, trusty, upstream, xenial): ignored 8, needs-triage 6, DNE 1, not-affected 1.
https://ubuntu.com/security/CVE-2021-25319
Affected software / configurations for CVE-2021-25319
Vendor
Product
Version
Raw CPE
opensuse
factory
<= 6.1.20-1.1
cpe:2.3:a:opensuse:factory:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
References for CVE-2021-25319
cvelogic
Threat Intelligence