CVE-2025-48799 | Windows Update Service Elevation of Privilege Vulnerability

Exp

Improper link resolution before file access ('link following') in Windows Update Service allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.

Published: 2025-07-08 Last update: 2026-06-17 Assigner: [email protected] Source: [email protected]
NVD Status：Analyzed，CVE State: published
View at NVD, CVE.org, EUVD

CVE-2025-48799 is rated High Exploit Risk (65/100): CVSS High severity, with medium exploitation likelihood (EPSS 1.03%). 2 public exploit reference(s) are indexed (Exploit-DB). Public exploits are available—assess exposure, apply mitigations, and prioritize patching.

Risk is dynamic; we continuously reassess and refresh what is shown on this page as upstream context changes.

Public exploit references (Exploit-DB) for CVE-2025-48799

EDB-ID Source Kind Published Link
— nvd_ref exploit_tag Exploit-DB ↗
— nvd_ref exploit_tag Exploit-DB ↗

Exploit prediction scoring system (EPSS) score for CVE-2025-48799

EPSS lead: Daily EPSS estimates relative likelihood of exploitation; percentile ranks this CVE among scored vulnerabilities (higher = more severe relative rank).

# Date Old EPSS score New EPSS score Delta (New - Old)
1 2026-06-15 2.89% 1.03% -1.86%
2 2026-05-27 3.07% 2.89% -0.18%
3 2026-05-04 — 3.07% —

Full EPSS history (14 records total)

Common vulnerability scoring system (CVSS) metrics for CVE-2025-48799

CVSS metrics for this CVE.

Base score Version Severity Vector Exploitability Impact Score source
7.8 3.1 HIGH
CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H Click to expand
Attack vector (AV:L)
They already need access on the box, or another person has to do something wrong; it’s not a remote drive-by.
Attack complexity (AC:L)
Once they can reach the bug, pulling it off is straightforward—no weird race conditions or rare setup.
Privileges required (PR:L)
A normal user session is enough; they don’t have to be admin.
User interaction (UI:N)
Nobody has to click “OK” or open a trap file; it can work without a victim helping.
Scope (S:U)
Damage stays in the same “trust bubble” as the broken component—no big spill into unrelated systems.
Confidentiality (C:H)
Serious risk that confidential data gets exposed in a big way.
Integrity (I:H)
They could widely tamper with or forge data—trust in the data is badly hurt.
Availability (A:H)
Could take the service down hard or make it unusable for people who depend on it.
 1.8 5.9 [email protected]

Weakness enumeration for CVE-2025-48799

Affected software / configurations for CVE-2025-48799

Vendor Product Version Raw CPE
microsoft windows_10_1607 < 10.0.14393.8246 cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1607:*:*:*:*:*:*:x64:*
microsoft windows_10_1607 < 10.0.14393.8246 cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1607:*:*:*:*:*:*:x86:*
microsoft windows_10_1809 < 10.0.17763.7558 cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1809:*:*:*:*:*:*:x64:*
microsoft windows_10_1809 < 10.0.17763.7558 cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1809:*:*:*:*:*:*:x86:*
microsoft windows_10_21h2 < 10.0.19044.6093 cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_21h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
microsoft windows_10_22h2 < 10.0.19045.6093 cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_22h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
microsoft windows_11_22h2 < 10.0.22621.5624 cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_11_22h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
microsoft windows_11_23h2 < 10.0.22631.5624 cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_11_23h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
microsoft windows_11_24h2 < 10.0.26100.4652 cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_11_24h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
microsoft windows_server_2025 < 10.0.26100.4652 cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2025:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*

References for CVE-2025-48799

cvelogic Threat Intelligence